A vector autoregressive model of order , denoted
, is a multivariate time series
model in which each component is a linear function of lagged values of every component.
It has the form
where
and
are vectors, the
are coefficient matrices, and
is a vector of innovations.
The model is stable, and hence has a causal stationary solution, when the roots of
all lie outside the unit circle. A univariate autoregressive model is the one-component special case.