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Vector Autoregressive Model


A vector autoregressive model of order p, denoted VAR(p), is a multivariate time series model in which each component is a linear function of lagged values of every component. It has the form

 x_t=c+sum_(j=1)^pA_jx_(t-j)+epsilon_t,

where x_t and c are vectors, the A_j are coefficient matrices, and epsilon_t is a vector of innovations.

The model is stable, and hence has a causal stationary solution, when the roots of

 det(I-A_1z-A_2z^2-...-A_pz^p)=0.

all lie outside the unit circle. A univariate autoregressive model is the one-component special case.


See also

Autoregressive Model, Covariance, Stationary Time Series, Time Series Analysis, Unit Root

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References

Lütkepohl, H. New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Berlin, Germany: Springer, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-27752-1.

Cite this as:

Weisstein, Eric W. "Vector Autoregressive Model." From MathWorld--A Wolfram Resource. https://mathworld.wolfram.com/VectorAutoregressiveModel.html

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