The probable error of a variate from a normal distribution is the half-width of the symmetric interval
about its mean containing probability
1/2. For the sample mean of
independent observations from a normal
distribution with mean
and standard deviation
, where
is a positive integer,
the probability
that
is within
standard errors of
is
|
(1)
|
where
is the normal distribution function
in the convention used here. The standardized sample mean
is
|
(2)
|
The probable error measured in standard errors is the positive value such that
, i.e.,
|
(3)
|
which is given by
|
(4)
| |||
|
(5)
|
(OEIS A092678; Kenney and Keeping 1962, p. 134). Here,
is the inverse erf function. The probability
of a deviation from the population
mean at least as great as the probable error is therefore 1/2. In the original
units, the probable error of
is
.