Circle triangle picking considers the areas of triangles determined by three points chosen independently and uniformly at random on the circumference of a unit circle.
By rotational and reflection symmetry, the first point can be assigned coordinates and the central angles
from it to the second and third points,
and
, can be taken as independent random
variables with uniform distributions
on
and
,
respectively. The signed area is
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(1)
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and the ordinary area is , so
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(2)
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(3)
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Therefore,
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(4)
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(5)
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(6)
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(7)
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But
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(8)
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(9)
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(10)
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(11)
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Write the mean area as
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(12)
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then
|
(13)
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and
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(14)
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Evaluating the antiderivative above gives
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(15)
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(16)
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(17)
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(18)
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(19)
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so
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(20)
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Also,
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(21)
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(22)
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(23)
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(24)
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so
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(25)
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Combining (20) and (25) gives the mean triangle area as
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(26)
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(OEIS A093582).
The first few raw moments are
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(27)
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(28)
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(29)
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(30)
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(31)
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(32)
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(OEIS A093583 and A093584 and OEIS A093585 and A093586).
The variance is therefore given by
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(33)
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The probability that the interior of the resulting triangle contains the origin is 1/4.