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Posterior Distribution


In Bayesian analysis, the posterior distribution is the conditional probability distribution of an unknown parameter after observed data have been taken into account. If pi(theta) is the density of a prior distribution and p(x|theta) is the likelihood function for observed data x, then the posterior density is

 pi(theta|x)=(p(x|theta)pi(theta))/(intp(x|u)pi(u)du).

The denominator normalizes the posterior density and is replaced by a sum when the parameter is discrete. Thus the posterior distribution combines the prior distribution with the information supplied by the data.


See also

Bayes' Theorem, Bayesian Analysis, Likelihood Function, Posterior Risk, Prior Distribution

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References

Berger, J. O. Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis, 2nd ed. New York: Springer-Verlag, 1985.

Cite this as:

Weisstein, Eric W. "Posterior Distribution." From MathWorld--A Wolfram Resource. https://mathworld.wolfram.com/PosteriorDistribution.html

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