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Gauss-Markov Theorem


The Gauss-Markov theorem states that the ordinary least squares estimator is the best linear unbiased estimator in a linear regression model with uncorrelated errors of equal variance. Here an estimator is a rule for estimating an unknown parameter from data in a sample. Linear means linear in the observations, unbiased means that its expectation value equals the parameter, and best means that it has the smallest variance among the linear unbiased estimators.

More precisely, suppose

 y=Xbeta+epsilon,
(1)

where X has full column rank, E(epsilon)=0, and Cov(epsilon)=sigma^2I. Then

 beta^^=(X^TX)^(-1)X^Ty,
(2)

is unbiased, and for every other linear unbiased estimator beta^~, the matrix

 Cov(beta^~)-Cov(beta^^)
(3)

is positive semidefinite. No normal distribution assumption is needed for this conclusion.


See also

Estimator, Expectation Value, General Linear Model, Least Squares Fitting, Linear Regression, Unbiased Estimator

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References

Draper, N. R. and Smith, H. Applied Regression Analysis, 3rd ed. New York: Wiley, 1998.

Cite this as:

Weisstein, Eric W. "Gauss-Markov Theorem." From MathWorld--A Wolfram Resource. https://mathworld.wolfram.com/Gauss-MarkovTheorem.html

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