Logistic Equation

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The logistic equation (sometimes called the Verhulst model or logistic growth curve) is a model of population growth first published by Pierre Verhulst (1845, 1847). The model is continuous in time, but a modification of the continuous equation to a discrete quadratic recurrence equation known as the logistic map is also widely used.

LogisticEquationContinuous

The continuous version of the logistic model is described by the differential equation

 (dN)/(dt)=(rN(K-N))/K,
(1)

where r is the Malthusian parameter (rate of maximum population growth) and K is the so-called carrying capacity (i.e., the maximum sustainable population). Dividing both sides by K and defining x=N/K then gives the differential equation

 (dx)/(dt)=rx(1-x),
(2)

which is known as the logistic equation and has solution

 x(t)=1/(1+(1/(x_0)-1)e^(-rt)).
(3)

The function x(t) is sometimes known as the sigmoid function.

While r is usually constrained to be positive, plots of the above solution are shown for various positive and negative values of r and initial conditions x_0=x(t=0) ranging from 0.00 to 1.00 in steps of 0.05.

The discrete version of the logistic equation (3) is known as the logistic map.

The curve

 x=a/(1+bq^t)
(4)

obtained from (3) is sometimes known as the logistic curve. Similarly, a normalized form of equation (3) is commonly used as a statistical distribution known as the logistic distribution.

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